on February 8, the website of voice of Russia published “when will China stand out?” 1n recent years, the military expenditure of Asian countries has increased, the regional situation has become increasingly tense, and the global balance of power is also leaning towards this region. Speaking of the increase in China’s naval strength, Kristan le Maire, an analyst at the 1nternational 1nstitute of strategic studies, pointed out that China is striving to develop its ocean fleet. By the end of 2020, China is likely to have three aircraft carrier battle groups, and it is likely to keep pace with the United States in number by 2050
for this forecast, Vasily Kashin, an expert from Russia’s Center for strategic and technical analysis, said that the long-term forecast of military strength growth is not reliable, it also depends on unpredictable factors. The long-term forecast of the development of naval power in the next decade is particularly uncertain, because in the foreseeable future, technological progress will change the characteristics of naval war
the article points out that as early as the 1960s, the military theorists of the former Soviet Union believed that the distribution of missile weapons would greatly weaken the role of the air force and end the era of large combat ships. Khrushchev also said that the US aircraft carrier is the target of missiles. However, these predictions did not come true
with the improvement of science and technology, the situation is changing. The article said that China’s deployment of new anti-ship ballistic missiles has caused serious doubts about the viability of aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific. 1n addition, China is working on hypersonic weapons. The article speculates that hypersonic anti-ship cruise missile can complete controllable flight in unpredictable orbit, which is one of the priority directions of China’s military modernization
the article also points out that China also needs other new possibilities. The inconspicuous and promising j-20 fighter is likely to be built as a carrier that can use cruise missiles. The combination of new anti-ship weapons and stealth strike aircraft with high-speed and long-range performance may make the fantasy of many 1960s military theorists come true< According to Russian media, it is impossible to effectively protect large surface warships from missile attack. The strategy and tactics of naval warfare will be completely changed. A large number of American aircraft carrier design, construction and operation experience has lost its value. Russian media believe that in terms of developing new technologies and new tactics, the US military may be in the same situation as China in essence the Russian media speculate that if the technology and war strategy in the next ten years really change fundamentally, China’s achievements will accelerate as fast as the United States. The United States is still the world’s largest power in science and technology and advanced technology, but China also has great potential. More importantly, China has been paying close attention to the situation of the scientific community, successfully identifying the most promising direction and investing heavily in it. Starting from scratch and building their own ocean fleet, the Chinese will be less constrained by tradition and dogma and previous investments, and their plans may be more flexible and vibrant. The naval arms race in Asia is likely to surprise people in the near future this article is a reprint of 1nternet media, which only represents the author’s point of view and has nothing to do with this website. 1f the information column articles and comments violate your legal rights, please call to let us know and we will deal with them in time